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From: mjones@fenway.aix.kingston.ibm.com (Mike Jones)
Message-Id: <9209291736.AA133909@fenway.aix.kingston.ibm.com>
Subject: AL MLV Leaders, 1991 (fwd)
To: <@donald:kbos@carina.unm.edu>
Date: Tue, 29 Sep 92 13:36:32 EDT
Reply-To: mjones@donald.aix.kingston.ibm.com
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.3 PL8]
Status: OR

Courtesy of Dr. Dave....

> From panews!uunet!uunet!zaphod.mps.ohio-state.edu!unix.cis.pitt.edu!dtate Tue Oct 15 15:27:46 1991
> Article: 47131 of rec.sport.baseball
> Path: panews!uunet!uunet!zaphod.mps.ohio-state.edu!unix.cis.pitt.edu!dtate
> Newsgroups: rec.sport.baseball
> Subject: AL MLV Leaders, 1991
> Message-ID: <190524@unix.cis.pitt.edu>
> Date: 15 Oct 91 17:23:46 GMT
> Organization: University of Pittsburgh
> Lines: 36
> 
> Here are the 1991 American League leaders in marginal runs per game (MR/G)
> and Total Marginal Runs, Dr. Dave's very own estimates of how many more runs
> an average team would score with Player X in the lineup, batting fifth, in
> place of a league-average hitter.
> 
> As it turns out, the correlation with Thorn and Palmer's Batting Runs is
> *very* high for the TMR numbers.  Maybe BR isn't so bad after all :-).
> 
>    Player		MR/G		 TMR
> 
> 1. Frank Thomas		.413		65.22
> 2. Cal Ripken Jr.	.338		54.72
> 3. Danny Tartabull	.392		51.79
> 4. Ken Griffey Jr.	.323		49.70
> 5. Rafael Palmeiro	.311		49.52
> 6. Paul Molitor		.272		43.05
> 7. Julio Franco		.280		40.87
> 8. Wade Boggs		.272		39.10
> 9. Jose Canseco		.249		38.35
> 10. Shane Mack		.262		37.52
> 11. Chili Davis		.234		35.75
> 12. Ruben Sierra	.217		34.88
> 13. Edgar Martinez	.219		32.83
> 14. Mickey Tettleton	.206		31.71
> 15. Lou Whitaker	.222		30.61
> 
> 
> These numbers do not include any stolen base factor, so you can adjust them
> if you wish by adding Stolen Base Runs (= .3*(SB - 2CS)  ).  Even so, FRank
> Thomas is a batting demigod.
> 
> -- 
>      David M. Tate      |"Faced as we are with such ubiquitous obliquity, it
> dtate@unix.cis.pitt.edu | is hard, is hard indeed, and therefore I will not
> Plays more pinball than | attempt, to refrain from invoking the names of Kafka,
> Dave and Sherri Nichols | Sartre, Shakespeare, St. Paul, Beckett, ..."
> 
> 


From mjones@fenway.aix.kingston.ibm.com Tue Sep 29 11:38:31 1992
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	id AA133917 (for @donald.aix.kingston.ibm.com:kbos@carina.unm.edu, from mjones/mjones@fenway.aix.kingston.ibm.com); Tue, 29 Sep 92 13:37:02 -0400
From: mjones@fenway.aix.kingston.ibm.com (Mike Jones)
Message-Id: <9209291737.AA133917@fenway.aix.kingston.ibm.com>
Subject: NL Marginal Lineup Values, 1991 (fwd)
To: <@donald:kbos@carina.unm.edu>
Date: Tue, 29 Sep 92 13:37:01 EDT
Reply-To: mjones@donald.aix.kingston.ibm.com
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.3 PL8]
Status: OR

More courtesy of Dr. Dave...

> From panews!uunet!uunet!elroy.jpl.nasa.gov!swrinde!gatech!unix.cis.pitt.edu!dtate Mon Oct 28 11:26:12 1991
> Article: 48231 of rec.sport.baseball
> Path: panews!uunet!uunet!elroy.jpl.nasa.gov!swrinde!gatech!unix.cis.pitt.edu!dtate
> Newsgroups: rec.sport.baseball
> Subject: NL Marginal Lineup Values, 1991
> Message-ID: <195150@unix.cis.pitt.edu>
> Date: 25 Oct 91 03:32:42 GMT
> Organization: University of Pittsburgh
> Lines: 49
> 
> Here are the 1991 National League leaders in Marginal Runs per Game and
> Total Marginal Runs, as computed by Dr. Dave's very own MLV method.  The
> gist of MR/G is "How many more runs per game would a league-average team
> score with this player in the lineup, gettin 1/9 of all plate appearances,
> rather than some league-average hitter?".  Asterisks (*) denote players
> with insufficient plate appearances to qualify for the batting title.  Note
> that platooned players, players who pinch-hit a lot, and late-inning
> defensive replacements will have "Total MR" numbers that are mostly garbage,
> this this is a quick-and-dirty extrapolation based on games played.
> 
> 
>    Player	       MR/game	 	   Player	      Total MR
> 
> 1. Barry Bonds		.318		1. Barry Bonds		48.61
> 2. Will Clark		.292		2. Terry Pendleton	44.35
> 3. Terry Pendleton	.290		3. Bobby Bonilla	43.58
> 4. Barry Larkin		.279		4. Will Clark		43.18
> 5. Bobby Bonilla	.278		5. Fred McGriff		40.79
> 6. Fred McGriff		.267		6. Ryne Sandberg	38.79
> 7. Hal Morris		.255		7. Chris Sabo		37.89
> 8. Dave Justice*	.251		8. Howard Johnson	36.31
> 9. Chris Sabo		.248		9. John Kruk		35.07
> 10. Ryne Sandberg	.246		10. Hal Morris		34.65
> 11. Ivan Calderon	.235		11. Barry Larkin	34.27
> 12. Howard Johnson	.233		12. Ivan Calderon	31.43
> 13. John Kruk		.231		13. Jeff Bagwell	31.40
> 14. Darryl Strawberry	.210		14. Darryl Strawberry	29.12
> 15. Kevin Mitchell*	.202		15. Dave Justice*	27.39
> 16. Jeff Bagwell	.201		16. Felix Jose		27.08
> 					17. Ron Gant		27.03
> [...]
> 
>     Spike Owen*		.002		    Spike Owen		 0.23
>     Casey Candaele     -.002		    Casey Candaele	-0.28
> 
> [...]
> 
>     Charlie Hayes*     -.108		    Charlie Hayes*     -15.28
>     Rafael Belliard*   -.134		    Alfredo Griffin*   -18.58
>     Alfredo Griffin*   -.171		    Rafael Belliard*   -20.03
> 
> 
> Offensively, Rafael Belliard plus Ron Gant equals Dave Magadan :-).
> 
> -- 
>        David M. Tate       | "My mother is a bit confused, Inspector.  It was
>   dtate@unix.cis.pitt.edu  |  a tortoise under his arm, and he wasn't so much
> Reads more Yellowthread St.|  playing hopscotch as one-legged."  (Harris)
> mysteries than Roger Lustig| 		--Tom Stoppard, "After Magritte"
> 
> 


